Russia and Belarus may target Poland’s key infrastructure, US institute warns

The American Institute for the Study of War (ISW) has warned that Russia, with Belarus, may be preparing false flag attacks on Poland’s critical infrastructure in an attempt to blame Ukraine.

Russia and Belarus may be planning false-flag attacks on Poland’s critical infrastructure, with Moscow reportedly trying to frame Ukraine, US think tank ISW warns.

Photo: ISW

ISW in an analysis published on X said that Russia’s September 30 SVR statement appears aimed at creating the conditions to blame Ukraine for any attacks on Poland or other NATO states that Russia itself might carry out.

A similar accusation was made on September 26, targeting Poland and Romania, despite officials in both countries attributing recent drone incursions to Russia.

The think tank warned that Moscow seems to be shaping an information narrative to shift responsibility onto Ukraine. The situation will continue to be closely monitored.

WARNING: Russia and Belarus may conduct special forces sabotage operations against Polish critical infrastructure and drone incursions and blame Ukraine.

Russia’s Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR) on September 30 baselessly accused Ukraine of preparing to conduct a false flag… pic.twitter.com/06UVj0IQXZ

— Institute for the Study of War (@TheStudyofWar) September 30, 2025

(mp)

Source: IAR/ISW