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EU ups Polish 2026 GDP growth forecast to 3.5%

18.11.2025 11:00
The European Commission has raised its forecast for Polish economic growth next year to 3.5 percent, from a previous projection of 3 percent.
Image by Gerd Altmann from Pixabay
Image by Gerd Altmann from Pixabay pixabay.com

The EU's executive predicted on Monday that the Polish economy will expand 3.2 percent this year, 0.1 percentage point less than it expected in May.

Poland's projected growth rates are among the highest in the 27-member European Union, state news agency PAP reported.

The European Commission said in its Autumn 2025 Economic Forecast that economic growth in the EU as a whole "exceeded expectations in the first nine months of the year, with real GDP growth outperforming the annual expansion projected in spring."

The European Commission's Autumn Forecast projects real GDP to grow by 1.4 percent in the EU in 2025 and 2026, edging up to 1.5 percent in 2027.

The euro area is expected to broadly mirror this trend, with real GDP growing by 1.3 percent in 2025, 1.2 percent in 2026, and by 1.4 percent in 2027, the European Commission said.

Poland's central bank this month predicted that the Polish economy would expand 3.4 percent this year, followed by 3.7 percent growth in 2026.

The country's 2025 budget expects the economy to grow 3.9 percent this year.

Polish GDP is expected to grow 3.5 percent next year, under the country's 2026 budget approved by the government in late August.

The Polish economy grew 3.7 percent in the third quarter of this year, the country’s statistics office said last week in a flash estimate.

The World Bank last month maintained its forecast for Polish economic growth this year at 3.2 percent.

(gs)

Source: IAR, PAP