Most Poles doubt Ukraine war will end in 2026, poll shows

A majority of Poles do not believe the war in Ukraine will end this year, according to a new survey by pollster IBRiS for Rzeczpospolita newspaper.

Rescuers work at the site of an apartment building hit by a Russian air strike, amid Russia's attack on Ukraine, in Kharkiv, Ukraine January 2, 2026.

REUTERS/Vitalii Hnidyi

The poll found that 45.9% of respondents said the war is unlikely to end in 2026, while 13.7% said it definitely will not.

By contrast, only 18.3% said it is likely to end, and 3.3% said they were certain it would.

Nearly one in five respondents — 18.8% — said they had no opinion.

Supporters of Poland’s ruling camp were the most skeptical about a resolution to the conflict this year, although opposition voters also expressed doubt.

According to Rzeczpospolita, many respondents who were pessimistic about the war’s end cited YouTube channels and podcasts such as Kanał Zero and Układ Otwarty, as well as traditional news outlets like TVN24 and Fakty TVN, as their primary sources of information.

(jh)

Source: Polskie Radio