BALANCE A Shrinking Power

The Warsaw-based Sobieski Institute think tank said in a new report that Britain had avoided the economic collapse predicted by some critics of Brexit, but had moved onto a permanently weaker growth path since the 2016 referendum.

The Sobieski Institute report titled "A Shrinking Power: Ten Years After the Brexit Referendum".

Photo: Danuta Isler

Titled "A Shrinking Power: Ten Years After the Brexit Referendum," it estimates that the British state is losing between GBP 75 billion and GBP 100 billion a year in revenue, British gross domestic product per capita is 6 to 8 percent lower than it would otherwise have been, while business investment is estimated to be 12 to 18 percent lower.

Jadwiga Emilewicz of the Sobieski Institute (L) and Arkady Rzegocki, Poland's former Ambassador to the UK (R) during a conference at the Institute on June 22, 2026.

BALANCE talks to Jadwiga Emilewicz of Sobieski Institute, Arkady Rzegocki, Poland's former Ambassador to the UK, as well as Michael Dembinski of the Polish-British Chamber of Commerce and Bartek Staniszewski of Bright Blue think tank. 

BALANCE is presented by Danuta Isler